8.8.14

Season Preview - The Championship



Last season The Championship was in the top four of most attended leagues for games across the whole of Europe. With such a battle every season for promotion to the country’s elite Premier League it comes as little surprise, that any one of usually around the top 12 teams in the division do battle until the final weeks to reach those dizzy heights. Last year’s ultimate victors were Thai consortium owned Leicester City amassing a huge 102 points, followed by second automatic promotion placed Burnley a further 9 points behind. The winners of the play offs were Queens Park Rangers managed by wheeler-dealer Harry Redknapp (albeit on a Premier League budget) overcoming Steve McClaren’s Derby side in Wembley’s showpiece final.

The 2014/2015 looks set to be as intense and competitive as ever, let’s take a look at some of the promotion and relegation candidates in more detail…

Fulham

Predicted finish: Champions

Fulham managed to retain manager Felix Magath after failure to turn around a struggling season in the Premier League. Appointed on Valentine’s Day he managed 10 points in the final 12 games of the season, which was simply just not good enough to retain their Premier League status. 9 players and a wealth of experience have departed Craven Cottage over the summer, leaving for other clubs on free transfers, players such as John Arne Riise, Steve Sidwell, Johnny Heitinga, Damien Duff, Brende Hangeland and Mahamadou Diarra.

Arrivals include the marquee signing of last season’s Championship top scorer Ross McCormack for a fee of around £11M from Leeds United and European experienced centre back Nikolay Bodurov from Bulgarian side Litex Lovetch. Fulham can also count on Costa Rican midfielder Bryan Ruiz who played at the World Cup this summer to bolster their ranks after his second half of the season loan return from Dutch giants PSV Eindhoven.

Some people may question Magath's ability to return Fulham to the Premier League at the first time of asking; however they are rated strongly among the bookmakers at around second favourites to be playing back in the top division next season.

Key man: Ross McCormack – Knows the division inside out having being Championship top scorer at Leeds and just missing out on the same accolade a few seasons prior at Cardiff, knows where the back of the net is and can expect a haul in the region of 25+ from the Scottish hit man.

Derby County
Predicted finish: Runners up.

Derby will be gutted about the manner of their play-off defeat at the hands of QPR last season, a last minute goal coming from substitute Bobby Zamora ending their hopes of promotion.

The bookies make Derby joint favourites for winning the league outright this season and few would argue they have what it takes to match that.

This summer has seen few arrivals on a limited budget in free transfers and loans notably central defender Zak Whitbread (free) from Leicester City and loan signing, striker Leon Best from Blackburn Rovers. Derby were never really a team that needed many arrivals as their squad seemed to retain its best players for this seasons fight, midfield startlet Will Hughes who attracted the attentions last season of a number of Premier League clubs combined with the expectation of goals from ex Norwich City man Chris Martin will prove key to Derby sustaining themselves in the mix come the end of the season, decent support up front from Conor Sammon should help alleviate the pressure on Martin somewhat.

Steve McClaren’s men last season were the highest scoring team in the division but also had the leakiest defence, the hope will be that Whitbread will help to shore this up and I can only see this as Derby’s only real area of concern going forward.

Key man: Chris Martin – His goals and assists to his teammates will be pivotal in Derby’s promotion charge this season.

Cardiff City

Predicted finish: 3rd (playoffs)

This season’s bookies joint favourites Cardiff finished last season bottom of the Premier League after just one season. In a closely contested battle with other relegated teams Norwich and Fulham there were only 6 points from themselves up to 17th placed WBA. Cardiff I think as most people will agree spent big (reportedly £8M) on Andreas Cornelius only for him to fail to deliver in an injury plagued 6 months, something you cannot afford to do in the Premier League not registering a single league goal before a January return to F.C. Copenhagen of Denmark.

Cardiff had fought for recent seasons for that promotion and it was of concern to many fans alike up and down the division when controversial owner Vincent Tan decided to part ways with manager Malky Mackay 2 days after Christmas, Tan directing the flak firmly in his direction after a series of very public altercations. Tan then went on to appoint Molde boss and former Manchester United player Ole Gunnar Solskjaer to improve the clubs standing which would ultimately come to no avail at the end of the season.

With relegation came the departures and arrivals of a number of players, gone are the likes of Frazier Campbell (Crystal Palace, est. £1M), Chilean international Gary Medel (Inter, season long loan) then there’s one season, yet ever present man Steven Caulker (Queens Park Rangers, est. £9M) and central midfield player Jordan Mutch (Queens Park Rangers, est. £6M). Arrivals have seen much needed firepower in the promising striker Federico Macheda (Manchester Utd, free) Championship experienced Adam Le Fondre (Reading, undisclosed) and ex Valladolid front man Javi Guerra (free).

As with Derby I can see Cardiff’s frailties lying in their defence, selling Caulker will be a big blow to Cardiff without a decent replacement they could struggle defensively. David Marshall will once again have to be at his shot stopping best, the keeper impressing with some fine individual performances in the Premier League last season.

Key man: Adam Le Fondre - The Cardiff no. 10 will bear the brunt of the requirement to be banging in the goals, averaging just over 20 in each of his last 5 seasons for previous clubs Reading and Rotherham Utd, Cardiff will be hopeful of a haul around the 25-30 mark, could prove to be one of the leagues signings of the season.

Blackburn Rovers

Predicted finish: 6th (playoffs)

Unlucky on the final day of the season to miss out on a play-off berth by 2 points Blackburn will be looking to go one further after a strong finish last season took them to 12 games unbeaten in the final weeks. Remembering speaking to first team coach Craig Short just before last season started about the hopes for the new season Blackburn would’ve finished in a solid position, considering they weren’t expecting playoffs in the first season under new full time manager Gary Bowyer.

This season is a different story with playoffs at least the target, arriving to support the front two of Jordan Rhodes and Rudy Gestede (38 league goals between them last season) are Luke Varney (Leeds Utd, free) and Chris Brown (Doncaster, free). Alex Baptiste has been brought in on loan from Bolton in defence, it is noted that Baptiste was actually wanted by Bowyer last season however the defensive man chose Bolton over the Lancashire club whom he is now on loan to Blackburn from.

Departing Ewood permanently after loan spells at and away from the club are Ruben Rochina and Scottish striker David Goodwillie (after contract settlement in June) respectively. Add to those two names a plethora of free transfers the other well known name would be that of DJ Campbell, who left the club by mutual consent at the beginning of July after being involved in a controversy over match fixing earlier in the season (to which the outcome of which is unknown if the player is guilty or innocent at the time or writing).

Key man: Jordan Rhodes - A continuing theme of front line key men Rhodes will be in the minds of Blackburn fans of being their hero come May. With a devastating record of having netted 25 or more goals in the past three seasons (25, 28*, 36) when Rhodes is on form it doesn’t rain it pours.

*This season included 2 goals for previous club Huddersfield town as well as 26 for Blackburn Rovers.

Norwich City

Predicted finish: 4th (playoffs)

As well as Fulham and Cardiff, Norwich was the other team unable to muster enough points to stay in the Premier League last season. Parting ways with manager Chris Hughton just before the end of the season and choosing former Under 18’s manager Neil Adams as his replacement they followed form with the other two relegated clubs changing managers before the end of the season to their determent.

While finishing with a better goal against record last season than either of the other two relegated clubs. Norwich suffered the feat of recording the lowest goals scored in the entire division, 28 in total. Despite this low total Norwich should have done better, club record signing Ricky Van Wolfswinkel (since departed on loan to St Etienne for the season) failed miserably mustering a sole league goal in 25 appearances. Johan Elmander (also now departed returning from loan to Galatasaray before being sold to Brondby) also managed only one goal, although with hard working performances for the team won over more hearts than the Dutch flop. Explaining their struggles further Luciano Becchio failed to register in the league in his 13 appearances for the Canaries. The only forward player managing any feats (including an impressive personal record) was Gary Hooper managing 6 league goals in 32 appearances. The record mentioned was that on 9th November 2013 (scoring a penalty against West Ham United) Hooper became the first player to score in the top four divisions in England, the top division in Scotland, both cup competitions in each country, as well as the UEFA Champions League and UEFA Europa League. Despite this accolade he couldn’t find the extra goals that eventually led to Norwich falling short of safety by 3 points (albeit also to a vastly inferior goal difference).

Norwich have recruited two strikers to replace the departed in Lewis Grabban (Bournemouth, est. £3M) and Kyle Lafferty (Palermo, est. £4M). Lafferty’s experience of top flight leagues in Scotland, Switzerland and Italy will prove invaluable to a team looking to get out of the blocks early and build up a significant goal haul.

Loan returns of Jonas Gutierrez, Joseph Yobo and Johan Elmander have also included the sale of Robert Snodgrass (Hull City, est. £6.5M) which will no doubt be felt in the midfield, the signing of Queens Park Rangers veteran Gary O’Neil should help soften the blow to some extent but Elliott Bennett remains the only out and out right sided midfielder in the squad. Fans will be hoping Snodgrass won’t be too sorely missed but Norwich have arguably the best midfield in the division, Leroy Fer, Jonathan Howson, Bradley Johnson, Andrew Pilkington, Nathan Redmond and probably Wesley Hoolahan (subject to potential transfer) will all be fighting to fit into manager Neil Adams formation.

Key man: Neil Adams – Yes here I have gone for the manager as the key man, to getting all of his players playing in a formation both he and they are comfortable playing with will be as much of a challenge that any single player faces. If he manages to crack it early on I feel they could even push for the top two places.

In The Mix

These teams I think will definitely be in the fight for promotion and the playoffs but could also easily be last season’s Blackburn and just miss out. All have strikers capable of finishing top scorer in the division this season and maintaining a sustainable challenge from day one.

Nottingham Forest
Watford
Middlesbrough
Wigan Athletic

Relegation Fodder

Personally I see the likes of Milwall, Blackpool, Birmingham City and Rotherham struggling this season. Brave escapes last season mixed with the lack of quality and squad depth, coupled with Rotherham being newly promoted are the reasons why I think these teams will be involved in the scrap this season. However, the transfer window is still open until the end of the month and anything can happen, just as with the top of the league can be any one of 12 clubs, so can the relegation places be decided in such an open fashion, making The Championship one of the best leagues in Europe to watch or follow.

By Ash Woods

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